Modelling population retention in Australia’s Northern Territory – how do current forms of migration contribute to population turnover and retention?     

James Thurmer  D. Carson  A. Taylor 《The Australian geographer》2019,50(4):435-452

ABSTRACT

In the past, population growth in Australia's Northern Territory, as in other peripheral parts of high-income countries, has been driven by internal labour migration and migration from outside of Australia. These have been contributing to the high population turnover experienced in peripheral areas. Since 2010, the Northern Territory has experienced low (and even negative) population growth, and public policy is currently focused on migration as a lever to reverse this trend. However, the extent to which the characteristics of migrants influence the potential for longer-term population growth is poorly understood. This paper uses a new method to analyse the contributions of various types of migrants to both population turnover and retention. Two major sets of findings emerge: First, the significance of separating newer in-migrants from longer-term residents when analysing migration patterns; and secondly, the contribution of age, gender, Indigenous status, international origin, wages and industry of employment to the Northern Territory's population turnover. The research suggests that current forms of migration favour people who are likely to stay for only short periods, and have high wage demands. The main policy inference is that long-term population growth will likely not eventuate unless new forms of migration can be stimulated.  相似文献   

黔北正安地区五峰组—龙马溪组页岩气地质特征及有利区预测     

贺永忠  向坤鹏  安亚运  易成兴  杨忠琴  于宁 《中国地质调查》2020,7(3):21-29

为明确黔北正安地区上奥陶统五峰组至下志留统龙马溪组的页岩气地质特征,充分应用页岩气地质调查、重磁电、二维地震、地质调查井及测试分析等工作方法,开展黔北正安地区1:5万页岩气基础地质调查,对五峰组至龙马溪组富有机质页岩的分布、沉积环境、有机地球化学、岩石矿物、储集性能及含气性等特征进行分析研究,结果表明: 研究区五峰组—龙马溪组富有机质页岩为深水陆棚相沉积,主要分布有安场向斜、斑竹向斜和泥高向斜,厚度14.5~55 m,埋深0~3 200 m; 有机碳(TOC)含量1.0%~4.0%,有机质镜质体反射率(R_o)为1.82%~2.23%,有机质类型以Ⅰ型干酪根为主; 岩石主要由石英、长石和黏土矿物组成,脆性矿物含量高,一般大于50%; 孔隙度为2.03%~3.89%,渗透率为0.35×10^-5~1.86×10^-5μm²,表现为低孔、特低渗的特征; 最高含气量为2.88 m³/t,显示出较好的含气性特征。综合分析和评价圈出3个页岩气聚集有利区,分别为安场区块、斑竹区块和泥高区块,这为研究区页岩气进一步勘探开发指明了方向。  相似文献   

The Three American Wests     

Joe Weber 《The Professional geographer》2019,71(2):239-252

In the twenty-first century, there are three American Wests, which cut across cultural, political, physical, and economic boundaries. Parts of the West are booming, building homes, and adding population; others are legally off limits to such development; and much of the West has been bypassed by such development and growth. These are called here the Booming West, Protected West, and Bypassed West. Maps of climate, political boundaries, ethnic and racial identities, or presidential voting patterns do not match these three Wests. Each West has a different relationship to the others and might see them as threats or opportunities, and each West can be expected to grow in different areas at the expense of other Wests. The boundaries between the three Wests could be important locations; sharp transitions can exist between Wests, perhaps nowhere more so than where a fast growing metro area abuts a national park or forest boundary. Finally, the effects of climate change cut across the three Wests and have different implications for their future. Continued population growth will further emphasize the boundaries between each of the three Wests and raise the stakes for their control.  相似文献   

Statistical characterization of frost zones: Case of tea freeze damage in the Kenyan highlands     

《International Journal of Applied Earth Observation and Geoinformation》2020

Frequent frost occurrences in the Kenyan highlands have had devastating effects on agricultural productivity. With inadequate management systems to mitigate the impacts, farmers have often had to bear the burden of losses resulting from frost damage. While agriculture in Kenya remains dependent on weather and climate, the agricultural economy of Kenya continues to suffer, underscoring the need for building local knowledge as basis for development of early warning systems. The current paper attempts to delineate frost zones by statistically characterizing them based on known risk factors related to topography (elevation, convexity, aspect, upslope flow length) and Land Surface Temperature (LST) derived from Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS). Through binary logistic regression, a logistic regression model was developed utilizing observation data (frost occurrence and non-occurrence) as a binary dependent variable to estimate the probability of frost occurrence. Assuming a 0.5 probability cut-off threshold between frost occurrence and non-occurrence, an overall accuracy of 81% with area under Receiver Operating Characteristics (ROC) Curve of 0.88 was obtained. No evidence of lack of model fit was detected. This model outperforms the currently operational model that utilizes MODIS LST alone to detect frost zones in the Kenyan tea plantations. It provides an improved method for effective delineation of frost zones by incorporating local topographic characteristics.  相似文献   

Spatial distribution characteristics of national protected areas in China     

Xu  Baicui  Pan  Jinghu 《地理学报(英文版)》2019,29(12):2047-2068

Journal of Geographical Sciences - This paper investigated spatial structures of 3418 national protected areas (NPAs) grouped into 13 types using GIS and quantitative analysis, including point...  相似文献   

Synergetic efficiency of Lidar and WorldView-2 for 3D urban cartography in Northeast Mexico     

Fabiola D. Yépez Rincón  Diego F. Lozano García 《国际地球制图》2019,34(2):164-178

Three-dimensional urban cartography is needed for city changes’ assessment. The variety of studies using 3D calculations of urban elements grows each year. Building and vegetation volumes are necessary to assess and understand spatio-temporal urban changeable environments. However, there are technical questions as to which method can improve 3D urban cartographic accuracy. The innovative part of this current study is the creation of a six-band hybrid obtained from LIDAR and WorldView2 synergy. Two different enhancement algorithms demonstrated the most important spectral features for the urban development and vegetation classes. Results indicated an improvement in accuracy by up to 21.3%, according to the Kappa coefficient. Both infra-red band and intensity band were the most significant, according to the principal components analysis. The synergy delimited classes and polygons, as well as the direct display of information regarding heights of elements and improving the extraction of roads, buildings and vegetation classes.  相似文献   

西昌市泸山地区典型火后泥石流特征与成因机制研究——以响水沟左岸3^#支沟为例     

铁永波  徐如阁  刘洪  王家柱  巴仁基  向安平  杨剑  欧阳渊  张玙  王宏 《中国地质调查》2020,7(3):82-88

2020年3月30日,四川省凉山州西昌市经久乡发生森林大火,山火燃烧后形成的山火灰和烧焦土体在强降雨作用下极易启动形成泥石流,给西昌市泸山、琼海景区生态环境及当地百姓生命财产安全带来潜在地质灾害风险。以西昌市安哈镇响水沟左岸3^#支沟为例,采用野外调查、无人机航拍、地球物理探测、现场及室内实验等手段,对2020年5月1日该沟发生的火后泥石流流体特征、动力学参数及成因机制等开展研究,系统分析了山火及降雨过程对该次火后泥石流形成的影响机制。该成果可为系统认识西昌泸山“3·30”山火地区火后泥石流的运动特征、物源规模、激发雨量及其发展趋势研判提供科学参考。  相似文献   

蚀变矿物填图技术在斑岩型铜矿找矿勘查中的应用—以滇西北香格里拉松诺矿床为例     

杜斌 《地质与勘探》2021,57(4):879-894

松诺铜矿区位于香格里拉格咱斑岩铜矿带红山-普朗铜多金属成矿亚带中段,矿区剥蚀程度较低,具有寻找斑岩型铜矿的潜力。本次蚀变矿物填图工作采用近红外光谱矿物分析技术,识别出绿泥石、绿帘石、高岭石、云母类、蒙脱石类及伊利石等6类主要蚀变矿物,蚀变类型为青磐岩化、绢英岩化;结合物探、化探异常分布,圈定3处找矿靶区,经对KHT2、KHT3钻孔验证,深部均圈定多层铜矿化体。结果表明,近红外光谱矿物分析技术在斑岩型铜多金属矿床勘查评价中可以较好地划分热液矿化蚀变带,进一步明确斑岩型矿化-蚀变中心,为探矿工程部署提供依据。  相似文献   

我国干热岩资源分布及勘探:进展与启示   总被引：3，自引：0，他引：3  

蔺文静  王贵玲  邵景力  甘浩男  谭现锋 《地质学报》2021,95(5):1366-1381

干热岩是地热资源的重要赋存形式之一,是未来地热开发的主攻方向.我国干热岩勘查工作近年来进展迅速,先后在不同地区发现了优质的干热岩资源,取得了我国干热岩资源勘查突破,但同时也存在不少勘查失败的案例.本文在分析高放射性产热型、沉积盆地型、近代火山型和强烈构造活动带型等四种类型干热岩成因模式的基础上,结合我国的地质构造背景、地热地质条件,对未来我国干热岩资源重点勘查方向及靶区进行了论述,并重点针对目前不同类型区干热岩资源勘探工程进行了梳理,简要分析了不同勘探区的选址依据、勘探过程、地温场分布及特征、前景预测等,并初步进行了经验总结,希望对我国未来干热岩资源勘查及开发工作起到借鉴作用.  相似文献   

山东淄博金岭杂岩体分布区深部富铁矿资源潜力及找矿方向     

张保涛  胡兆国  曹其琛  姜晓平  梅贞华  李忠平  杜利明  华北  赵磊  柳森 《地质学报》2021,95(5):1545-1560

深部找矿是目前研究和勘查的热点领域.金岭杂岩体侵入于古生代灰岩中,是燕山运动晚期的产物,与其有关的铁成矿作用是内生铁成矿典型事件之一,形成了金岭富铁矿集区.矿集区目前已发现铁矿体主要分布在-500 m以浅,矿山开采面临资源枯竭的严峻形势,深部找矿亟待突破.区内矿体按赋存介质及空间分布可划分为岩体/地层接触带式、假整合/层间裂隙式、岩体内捕虏体式三种型式.重、磁、电、地综合指示,其深部和外围依然具有优越的矽卡岩型富铁成矿条件,有利找矿深度可延伸至1.3 km,资源潜力大.通过可控源音频大地电磁测深、重磁反演技术对深部和外围成矿地质体的反映,优选出了研究区深部和外围的主要有利找矿区,分别建立了金岭杂岩体两侧矽卡岩型富铁矿地质地球物理综合找矿模型,以期为实现研究区深部和外围找矿发现及相似区域的找矿工作提供理论指导.  相似文献